Estimating real‐world probabilities: A forward‐looking behavioral framework
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Journal of Futures Markets"
DOI: 10.1002/fut.22248
Abstract: This document shows that disentangling sentiment-induced biases from fundamental expectations significantly improves the accuracy and consistency of probabilistic forecasts. Using data from 1994 to 2017, 15 stochastic models and risk-preference combinations are analyzed and in… read more here.
Keywords: world probabilities; real world; forward looking; world ... See more keywords
Deservingness Belongs to the Past
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2024 at "Ethical Theory and Moral Practice"
DOI: 10.1007/s10677-024-10466-9
Abstract: It has been suggested that people who will face hardship in the future may deserve our sympathies now. Similar intuitions can be adopted regarding the deservingness of jobs and scholarships, where andidates may be deserving… read more here.
Keywords: deservingness; forward looking; deservingness belongs; belongs past ... See more keywords
Seabed Terrain 3D Reconstruction Using 2D Forward-Looking Sonar: A Sea-Trial Report From The Pipeline Burying Project
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "IFAC-PapersOnLine"
DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2019.12.303
Abstract: Abstract In this short paper, we report some preliminary results on the seabed terrain reconstruction using the two-dimensional (2D) forward-looking sonar. In the underwater pipeline burying project, when the burying machine excavating the trench using… read more here.
Keywords: reconstruction; reconstruction using; forward looking; looking sonar ... See more keywords
Forward-looking asset correlations in the estimation of economic capital
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money"
DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2019.04.001
Abstract: We analyze whether the credit market anticipated the financial crisis before the regulators using a methodology that combines the Merton model for the determination of economic capital with Vasicek’s factor model for asset correlation. Contrary… read more here.
Keywords: credit market; economic capital; estimation economic; capital ... See more keywords
What to expect when you are expecting: Are health care consumers forward-looking?
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Journal of health economics"
DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2019.06.003
Abstract: A fundamental question in health insurance markets is how do health care consumers dynamically optimize their medical utilization under non-linear insurance contracts? Our paper tests the neoclassical prediction that a fully forward-looking agent only responds… read more here.
Keywords: health care; year; forward looking; care consumers ... See more keywords
What makes decisions about urban water infrastructure forward looking? A fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis of investment decisions in 40 Dutch municipalities
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Land Use Policy"
DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.12.012
Abstract: Municipalities worldwide are confronted with the need to take long-term decisions about ageing water infrastructure in the face of unpredictable future developments. Previous studies on long-term decision making have proposed solutions targeted at the domain… read more here.
Keywords: looking investment; investment decisions; water infrastructure; forward looking ... See more keywords
A forward-looking SONAR and dynamic model-based AUV navigation strategy: Preliminary validation with FeelHippo AUV
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Ocean Engineering"
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2019.106770
Abstract: Abstract Reliable navigation systems are fundamental for Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) to perform complex tasks and missions. It is well known that the Global Positioning System (GPS) cannot be employed in underwater scenarios; thus, during… read more here.
Keywords: navigation; feelhippo auv; forward looking; looking sonar ... See more keywords
Forward-looking assessments that support students’ learning: A comparative analysis of two approaches
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Studies in Educational Evaluation"
DOI: 10.1016/j.stueduc.2018.12.003
Abstract: Abstract In this theoretical paper we describe and compare two forward-looking approaches to assessment, Formative assessment (FA) and Response to intervention (RTI). The purpose is to provide researchers and practitioners with insights that enable more… read more here.
Keywords: students learning; assessments support; forward looking; support students ... See more keywords
The 'fit' between forward-looking activities and the innovation policy governance sub-system: A framework to explore potential impacts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Technological Forecasting and Social Change"
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.07.016
Abstract: Forward-looking activities (FLAs) can influence innovation systems in various ways to a significant extent. This paper focuses on changes induced by FLAs in the innovation policy governance sub-system (IPGSs) of a given national innovation system.… read more here.
Keywords: looking activities; system; framework; innovation ... See more keywords
Optimal monetary policy with a risk-averse central bank
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2025 at "Macroeconomic Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1017/s1365100525100357
Abstract: Abstract Within a new Keynesian model of monetary policy with both backward- and forward-looking variables, we investigate the impact of risk aversion by assuming that the central bank is endowed with recursive preferences à la… read more here.
Keywords: forward looking; monetary policy; risk; policy ... See more keywords
Testing for forward-looking behaviour: evidence from the enactment of smoking restrictions
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Applied Economics"
DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2018.1540845
Abstract: ABSTRACT This paper develops a new test for forward-looking behaviour based on the establishment of public smoking restrictions. Given that the announcement of these restrictions effectively increases the future cost of smoking, we should expect… read more here.
Keywords: testing forward; smoking; evidence; forward looking ... See more keywords