Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04690-8
Abstract: Future climate is typically projected using multi-model ensembles, but the ensemble mean is unlikely to be optimal if models’ skill at reproducing historical climate is not considered. Moreover, individual climate models are not independent. Here,… read more here.
Keywords: overconfidence; precipitation; climate; future australian ... See more keywords