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Published in 2022 at "Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America"
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2203822119
Abstract: Significance Accurate forecasts of migration trends are essential for effective migration policies. We develop a method for probabilistic forecasting of international migration flows between pairs of countries. Our model encodes the observation that the spatial…
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Keywords:
bilateral migration;
international bilateral;
probabilistic forecasts;
migration flows ... See more keywords