Blending distributed photovoltaic and demand load forecasts
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DOI: 10.1016/j.solener.2017.08.049
Abstract: Abstract Utilities consider having accurate electric load forecasts to be critical to their day-to-day operations. But the growing penetration of distributed photovoltaic (DPV) solar power production “behind the meter” makes it more difficult to predict… read more here.
Keywords: load forecasts; forecasting system; solar power; power ... See more keywords
Improving Short-Term Heat Load Forecasts with Calendar and Holiday Data
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DOI: 10.3390/en11071678
Abstract: The heat load in district heating systems is affected by the weather and by human behavior, and special consumption patterns are observed around holidays. This study employs a top-down approach to heat load forecasting using… read more here.
Keywords: heat load; holiday data; load forecasts; load ... See more keywords
Intraday Load Forecasts with Uncertainty
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DOI: 10.3390/en12101833
Abstract: We provide a comprehensive framework for forecasting five minute load using Gaussian processes with a positive definite kernel specifically designed for load forecasts. Gaussian processes are probabilistic, enabling us to draw samples from a posterior… read more here.
Keywords: intraday load; forecasts uncertainty; load forecasts; uncertainty ... See more keywords