On assessing calibration of multivariate ensemble forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.2906
Abstract: A necessary condition for optimal use in decision making of probability forecasts in general, and ensemble forecasts in particular, is that they should be calibrated. Ensemble calibration implies that each observation is statistically indistinguishable from… read more here.
Keywords: miscalibration; multivariate ensemble; assessing calibration; multivariate ... See more keywords
What you think and what I think: Studying intersubjectivity in knowledge artifacts evaluation
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Information Systems Frontiers"
DOI: 10.1007/s10796-015-9586-x
Abstract: Miscalibration, the failure to accurately evaluate one’s own work relative to others' evaluation, is a common concern in social systems of knowledge creation where participants act as both creators and evaluators. Theories of social norming… read more here.
Keywords: miscalibration; knowledge; knowledge artifacts; evaluation ... See more keywords