Inflated Uncertainty in Multimodel‐Based Regional Climate Projections
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DOI: 10.1002/2017gl075627
Abstract: Abstract Multimodel ensembles are widely analyzed to estimate the range of future regional climate change projections. For an ensemble of climate models, the result is often portrayed by showing maps of the geographical distribution of… read more here.
Keywords: multimodel; uncertainty multimodel; inflated uncertainty; climate ... See more keywords
A new approach to extended‐range multimodel forecasting: Sequential learning algorithms
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4177
Abstract: Multimodel combinations are a well‐established methodology in weather and climate prediction and their benefits have been widely discussed in the literature. Typical approaches involve combining the output of different numerical weather prediction (NWP) models using… read more here.
Keywords: skill; combination; prediction; new approach ... See more keywords
Multimodel Forecasting of Precipitation at Subseasonal Timescales Over the Southwest Tropical Pacific
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DOI: 10.1029/2019ea001003
Abstract: Multimodel ensemble (MME) reforecasts of rainfall at subseasonal time scales in the southwest tropical Pacific are constructed using six models (BoM, CMA, ECCC, ECMWF, Météo‐France, and UKMO) from the Subseasonal‐to‐Seasonal (S2S) database by member pooling.… read more here.
Keywords: southwest tropical; tropical pacific; individual models; multimodel ... See more keywords
Evaluation of Long‐Term Temperature Trend and Variability in CMIP6 Multimodel Ensemble
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Geophysical Research Letters"
DOI: 10.1029/2021gl093227
Abstract: This study conducts a robust assessment of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 to capture the observed temperature trends and variability at global and regional scales. The warming rate in the second half of… read more here.
Keywords: temperature; multimodel; temperature trend; variability ... See more keywords
The Optimal Multimodel Ensemble of Bias-Corrected CMIP5 Climate Models over China
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Journal of Hydrometeorology"
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-19-0141.1
Abstract: AbstractA multimodel ensemble of general circulation models (GCM) is a popular approach to assess hydrological impacts of climate change at local, regional, and global scales. The traditional multi... read more here.
Keywords: multimodel; multimodel ensemble; corrected cmip5; ensemble bias ... See more keywords
Seasonal Forecasting of Wind and Waves in the North Atlantic Using a Grand Multimodel Ensemble
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0099.1
Abstract: This study assesses the skill of multimodel forecasts of 10-m wind speed, significant wave height, and mean wave period in the North Atlantic for the winter months. The 10-m winds from four North American multimodel… read more here.
Keywords: multimodel ensemble; north atlantic; wind waves; multimodel ... See more keywords