Articles with "multimodel ensemble" as a keyword



Future climate change implications in Bhutan from a downscaled and bias‐adjusted CMIP6 multimodel ensemble

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Published in 2024 at "International Journal of Climatology"

DOI: 10.1002/joc.8623

Abstract: We describe the bias adjustment and downscaling to a resolution of 1 × 1 km of daily temperature, precipitation and solar radiation of a multimodel ensemble of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) GCMs with the local… read more here.

Keywords: climate change; cmip6; climate; precipitation ... See more keywords

Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble

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Published in 2017 at "Climate Dynamics"

DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3721-y

Abstract: Here we examine the skill of three, five, and seven-category monthly ENSO probability forecasts (1982–2015) from single and multi-model ensemble integrations of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) project. Three-category forecasts are typical and provide… read more here.

Keywords: multimodel ensemble; american multimodel; north american; enso phase ... See more keywords

The added value of simulated near-surface wind speed over the Alps from a km-scale multimodel ensemble

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Published in 2024 at "Climate Dynamics"

DOI: 10.1007/s00382-024-07257-4

Abstract: The advancement of computational resources has allowed researchers to run convection-permitting regional climate model (CPRCM) simulations. A pioneering effort promoting a multimodel ensemble of such simulations is the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Studies (FPS) on “Convective… read more here.

Keywords: value; near surface; wind speed; added value ... See more keywords

Mediterranean drying by a positive North Atlantic Oscillation trend over the last 65 years is an extreme outlier in the CMIP6 multimodel ensemble

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Published in 2025 at "Journal of Climate"

DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-25-0359.1

Abstract: The Mediterranean region has experienced declining precipitation during the cool season since the 1950s which is broadly consistent with climate model future projections. The observed drying is focused on mid-winter and the central to western… read more here.

Keywords: cmip6 multimodel; mediterranean drying; north atlantic; multimodel ensemble ... See more keywords
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The Optimal Multimodel Ensemble of Bias-Corrected CMIP5 Climate Models over China

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Published in 2020 at "Journal of Hydrometeorology"

DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-19-0141.1

Abstract: AbstractA multimodel ensemble of general circulation models (GCM) is a popular approach to assess hydrological impacts of climate change at local, regional, and global scales. The traditional multi... read more here.

Keywords: multimodel; multimodel ensemble; corrected cmip5; ensemble bias ... See more keywords
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Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation Based on an Object-Based Diagnostic Evaluation

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Published in 2020 at "Monthly Weather Review"

DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-19-0266.1

Abstract: AbstractWe analyzed 24-h accumulated precipitation forecasts over the 4-month period from 1 May to 31 August 2013 over an area located in East Asia covering the region 15.05°–58.95°N, 70.15°–139.95... read more here.

Keywords: multimodel ensemble; based object; precipitation; ensemble forecasts ... See more keywords

Verification of Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

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Published in 2017 at "Weather and Forecasting"

DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-17-0058.1

Abstract: AbstractNorth Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts from four ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are verified using the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) best tracks for the 2008–15 seasons. The 1–5-day forecasts are evaluated for the 21-member National… read more here.

Keywords: north atlantic; multimodel ensemble; verification multimodel; atlantic tropical ... See more keywords

Seasonal Forecasting of Wind and Waves in the North Atlantic Using a Grand Multimodel Ensemble

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Published in 2019 at "Weather and Forecasting"

DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0099.1

Abstract: This study assesses the skill of multimodel forecasts of 10-m wind speed, significant wave height, and mean wave period in the North Atlantic for the winter months. The 10-m winds from four North American multimodel… read more here.

Keywords: multimodel ensemble; north atlantic; wind waves; multimodel ... See more keywords

Probabilistic Multimodel Ensemble Wake-Vortex Prediction Employing Bayesian Model Averaging

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Published in 2019 at "Journal of Aircraft"

DOI: 10.2514/1.c035109

Abstract: This paper investigates the capability of the multimodel ensemble approach to improve the deterministic forecast of wake-vortex behavior and to produce reliable probabilistic vortex habitation area... read more here.

Keywords: multimodel ensemble; wake vortex; probabilistic multimodel;