Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3721-y
Abstract: Here we examine the skill of three, five, and seven-category monthly ENSO probability forecasts (1982–2015) from single and multi-model ensemble integrations of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) project. Three-category forecasts are typical and provide… read more here.
Keywords: multimodel ensemble; american multimodel; north american; enso phase ... See more keywords
The Optimal Multimodel Ensemble of Bias-Corrected CMIP5 Climate Models over China
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DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-19-0141.1
Abstract: AbstractA multimodel ensemble of general circulation models (GCM) is a popular approach to assess hydrological impacts of climate change at local, regional, and global scales. The traditional multi... read more here.
Keywords: multimodel; multimodel ensemble; corrected cmip5; ensemble bias ... See more keywords
Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts of Precipitation Based on an Object-Based Diagnostic Evaluation
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DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-19-0266.1
Abstract: AbstractWe analyzed 24-h accumulated precipitation forecasts over the 4-month period from 1 May to 31 August 2013 over an area located in East Asia covering the region 15.05°–58.95°N, 70.15°–139.95... read more here.
Keywords: multimodel ensemble; based object; precipitation; ensemble forecasts ... See more keywords
Verification of Multimodel Ensemble Forecasts of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-17-0058.1
Abstract: AbstractNorth Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts from four ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) are verified using the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) best tracks for the 2008–15 seasons. The 1–5-day forecasts are evaluated for the 21-member National… read more here.
Keywords: north atlantic; multimodel ensemble; verification multimodel; atlantic tropical ... See more keywords
Seasonal Forecasting of Wind and Waves in the North Atlantic Using a Grand Multimodel Ensemble
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0099.1
Abstract: This study assesses the skill of multimodel forecasts of 10-m wind speed, significant wave height, and mean wave period in the North Atlantic for the winter months. The 10-m winds from four North American multimodel… read more here.
Keywords: multimodel ensemble; north atlantic; wind waves; multimodel ... See more keywords
Probabilistic Multimodel Ensemble Wake-Vortex Prediction Employing Bayesian Model Averaging
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DOI: 10.2514/1.c035109
Abstract: This paper investigates the capability of the multimodel ensemble approach to improve the deterministic forecast of wake-vortex behavior and to produce reliable probabilistic vortex habitation area... read more here.
Keywords: multimodel ensemble; wake vortex; probabilistic multimodel;