Forecasting Elections in Multiparty Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals
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DOI: 10.1017/pan.2018.49
Abstract: We offer a dynamic Bayesian forecasting model for multiparty elections. It combines data from published pre-election public opinion polls with information from fundamentals-based forecasting models. The model takes care of the multiparty nature of the… read more here.
Keywords: multiparty systems; bayesian approach; forecasting elections; model ... See more keywords