Which precipitation forecasts to use? Deterministic versus coarser-resolution ensemble NWP models
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3952
Abstract: Deterministic numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and ensemble NWP models are routinely run worldwide to assist weather forecasting. Deterministic forecasts are capable of capturing more detailed spatial features, while ensemble forecasts, often with a coarser… read more here.
Keywords: resolution ensemble; ensemble nwp; coarser resolution; model ... See more keywords
On the Consequences of PBL Scheme Diffusion on UTLS Wave and Turbulence Representation in High-Resolution NWP Models
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Monthly Weather Review"
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-20-0102.1
Abstract: Mesoscale numerical weather prediction (NWP) models are routinely exercised at kilometer-scale horizontal grid spacings (Δx). Such fine grids will usually allow at least partial resolution of small-scale gravity waves and turbulence in the upper troposphere… read more here.
Keywords: resolution; turbulence; scheme diffusion; pbl scheme ... See more keywords
Different Representation of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Convection-Permitting and Convection-Parameterizing NWP Models and Its Implications for Large-Scale Forecast Evolution
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Atmosphere"
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10090503
Abstract: Representing mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) and their multi-scale interaction with the large-scale atmospheric dynamics is still a major challenge in state-of-the-art global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. This results in potentially defective forecasts of synoptic-scale… read more here.
Keywords: convection permitting; convection; mesoscale convective; convective systems ... See more keywords