Multiscale Characteristics of Different-Source Perturbations and Their Interactions for Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting during SCMREX
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DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-18-0218.1
Abstract: The multiscale characteristics of initial conditions (ICs), model physics (MO), and lateral boundary conditions (LBCs) perturbations, as well as their interactions, are investigated for an experimental convection-permitting ensemble prediction system used in southern China, with… read more here.
Keywords: convection permitting; meso scale; permitting ensemble; multiscale characteristics ... See more keywords
Multiscale Interactions of Initial Condition Perturbations for Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasting over South China during the Rainy Season
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DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-24-0181.1
Abstract: The multiscale interactions of initial condition (IC) perturbations for 12-h convection-permitting ensemble forecasting were explored in this study. The heavy rainfall events occurring in South China in the rainy season during 2013–20 were focused on… read more here.
Keywords: permitting ensemble; convection permitting; convection; scale perturbations ... See more keywords
Evaluating Stochastic Parameter Perturbations in Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecasts of Lake-Effect Snow
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-24-0141.1
Abstract: Lake-effect snowstorms can produce large snowfall accumulations that are challenging to simulate and forecast. One source of forecast uncertainty for these events is the uncertain parameterization of sub-grid processes, such as planetary boundary layer and… read more here.
Keywords: effect; permitting ensemble; stochastic parameter; lake effect ... See more keywords