Evaluating Wet‐Seasonal NMME Precipitation Forecasts Over Brazil's Itaipu and Sobradinho Basins
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2025 at "International Journal of Climatology"
DOI: 10.1002/joc.8882
Abstract: Reliable seasonal precipitation forecasts are vital for managing hydroelectric power plants, particularly in regions with variable climate conditions. This study evaluates the performance of North American Multi‐Model Ensemble (NMME) wet‐season precipitation forecasts over two hydroelectric… read more here.
Keywords: nmme models; brazil itaipu; sobradinho; evaluating wet ... See more keywords
Probabilistic seasonal precipitation forecasts using quantiles of ensemble forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2024 at "Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment"
DOI: 10.1007/s00477-024-02668-5
Abstract: Seasonal precipitation forecasting is vital for weather-sensitive sectors. Global Circulation Models (GCM) routinely produce ensemble Seasonal Climate Forecasts (SCFs) but suffer from issues like low forecast resolution and skills. To address these issues in this… read more here.
Keywords: seasonal precipitation; post processing; forecast; precipitation ... See more keywords
Heavy precipitation forecasts over Switzerland – An evaluation of bias-corrected ECMWF predictions
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Weather and climate extremes"
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100372
Abstract: Abstract Heavy precipitation episodes are particularly hazardous in mid-sized alpine catchments where runoff tends to increase rapidly after strong rainfall, leaving limited time for warning. A high-quality, unbiased forecast of heavy precipitation with long enough… read more here.
Keywords: bias corrected; lead times; precipitation forecasts; precipitation ... See more keywords
A Generative Deep Learning Approach to Stochastic Downscaling of Precipitation Forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems"
DOI: 10.1029/2022ms003120
Abstract: Despite continuous improvements, precipitation forecasts are still not as accurate and reliable as those of other meteorological variables. A major contributing factor to this is that several key processes affecting precipitation distribution and intensity occur… read more here.
Keywords: generative deep; high resolution; resolution; precipitation forecasts ... See more keywords
Statistical Postprocessing of Week-1 and Week-2 Precipitation Forecasts Over Taiwan
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2024 at "Journal of Hydrometeorology"
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-23-0177.1
Abstract: The predictability of precipitation is hindered by finer-scale processes not captured explicitly in global numerical models, such as convective interactions, cloud microphysics, and boundary layer dynamics. However, there is growing demand across various sectors for… read more here.
Keywords: week; statistical postprocessing; precipitation; precipitation forecasts ... See more keywords
Evaluation of 8-Day Typhoon Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts in Taiwan by the 2.5-km CReSS Model: Overall Performance during 2012–16 and Impact of Domain Size
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2025 at "Journal of Hydrometeorology"
DOI: 10.1175/jhm-d-24-0052.1
Abstract: The skill of 24-h daily quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) in Taiwan by a cloud-resolving model out to 8 days was evaluated for 27 typhoons (84 days) during 2012–16. Overall, the skill increased as the lead… read more here.
Keywords: domain; precipitation forecasts; model; day ... See more keywords
A Comparison of AI Weather Prediction and Numerical Weather Prediction Models for 1–7-Day Precipitation Forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2025 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-24-0081.1
Abstract: Pure AI-based weather prediction (AIWP) models have made waves within the scientific community and the media, claiming superior performance to numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these models often lack impactful output variables such as… read more here.
Keywords: prediction; precipitation forecasts; numerical weather; weather prediction ... See more keywords
A general comprehensive evaluation method for cross-scale precipitation forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2024 at "Geoscientific Model Development"
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-4579-2024
Abstract: Abstract. With the development of refined numerical forecasts, problems such as score distortion due to the division of precipitation thresholds in both traditional and improved scoring methods for precipitation forecasts and the increasing subjective risk… read more here.
Keywords: method; precipitation; precipitation forecasts; comprehensive evaluation ... See more keywords