Accuracy of predicting epidemic outbreaks.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Physical review. E"
DOI: 10.1103/physreve.105.014302
Abstract: During the outbreak of a virus, perhaps the greatest concern is the future evolution of the epidemic: How many people will be infected and which regions will be affected the most? The accurate prediction of… read more here.
Keywords: accuracy predicting; time; epidemic outbreaks; predicting epidemic ... See more keywords
Predicting epidemic evolution on contact networks from partial observations
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "PLoS ONE"
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0176376
Abstract: The massive employment of computational models in network epidemiology calls for the development of improved inference methods for epidemic forecast. For simple compartment models, such as the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model, Belief Propagation was proved to be… read more here.
Keywords: contact; evolution; belief propagation; predicting epidemic ... See more keywords