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Published in 2019 at "Empirical Economics"
DOI: 10.1007/s00181-019-01689-2
Abstract: We construct long-term prediction intervals for time-aggregated future values of univariate economic time series. We propose computational adjustments of the existing methods to improve coverage probability under a small sample constraint. A pseudo-out-of-sample evaluation shows…
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Keywords:
term prediction;
economic time;
prediction intervals;
long term ... See more keywords
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Published in 2025 at "Communications Biology"
DOI: 10.1038/s42003-025-08063-2
Abstract: In regenerative medicine, mesenchymal stem cells (MSCs) constitute a promising therapeutic route for many diseases. The current quality-by-design guidelines do not clearly define a framework for MSC production. Here, we suggest and experimentally validate a…
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Keywords:
mesenchymal stem;
cultivation processes;
prediction intervals;
cultivation ... See more keywords
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Published in 2024 at "Journal of Applied Statistics"
DOI: 10.1080/02664763.2024.2420223
Abstract: We revisit the classic situation in functional data analysis in which curves are observed at discrete, possibly sparse and irregular, arguments with observation noise. We focus on the reconstruction of individual curves by prediction intervals…
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Keywords:
prediction intervals;
coverage;
intervals bands;
bands improved ... See more keywords
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Published in 2019 at "Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods"
DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2018.1429624
Abstract: ABSTRACT The accurate estimation of an individual's usual dietary intake is an important topic in nutritional epidemiology. This paper considers the best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP) computed from repeatedly measured dietary data and derives several…
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Keywords:
prediction intervals;
pipeline estimating;
analysis pipeline;
true intake ... See more keywords
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Published in 2021 at "European journal of orthodontics"
DOI: 10.1093/ejo/cjab037
Abstract: BACKGROUND A prediction interval represents a clinical interpretation of heterogeneity. The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of prediction interval reporting in orthodontic random effect meta-analyses. The corroboration between effect size estimates…
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Keywords:
meta analyses;
prediction intervals;
prediction;
prediction interval ... See more keywords
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Published in 2019 at "IEEE Access"
DOI: 10.1109/access.2019.2938214
Abstract: Traditional neural networks (NNs) have been widely used in prediction intervals (PIs) construction method, with many improved models have been proposed. However, there are not satisfactory prediction results when dealing with some complex prediction problems…
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Keywords:
pis;
construction;
prediction intervals;
prediction ... See more keywords
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Published in 2020 at "IEEE Access"
DOI: 10.1109/access.2020.2983446
Abstract: Byproduct gaseous energy is crucial to the iron-steel manufacturing process, where the tendencies of its generation and consumption can be deemed as a significant reference for scheduling production and decision-making. Besides the requirements imposed on…
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Keywords:
granular computing;
computing based;
prediction intervals;
long term ... See more keywords
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Published in 2021 at "IEEE transactions on neural networks and learning systems"
DOI: 10.1109/tnnls.2021.3053306
Abstract: To address the architecture complexity and ill-posed problems of neural networks when dealing with high-dimensional data, this article presents a Bayesian-learning-based sparse stochastic configuration network (SCN) (BSSCN). The BSSCN inherits the basic idea of training…
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Keywords:
sparse stochastic;
prediction intervals;
prediction;
based sparse ... See more keywords
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Published in 2020 at "IEEE Transactions on Power Systems"
DOI: 10.1109/tpwrs.2020.2965799
Abstract: A novel machine learning based mixed integer programming model is developed for the optimal nonparametric prediction intervals (PIs) of electricity load, which minimizes interval width subject to target hit probability constraint. Binary variables are employed…
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Keywords:
electricity load;
optimal nonparametric;
prediction intervals;
nonparametric prediction ... See more keywords
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Published in 2019 at "Statistical Methods in Medical Research"
DOI: 10.1177/0962280219829885
Abstract: The classical and most commonly used approach to building prediction intervals is the parametric approach. However, its main drawback is that its validity and performance highly depend on the assumed functional link between the covariates…
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Keywords:
prediction intervals;
forest method;
random forests;
performance ... See more keywords
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Published in 2022 at "Journal of pharmaceutical and biomedical analysis"
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4134171
Abstract: Design of Experiments (DoE) is a well-established tool used for analytical methods robustness studies, because of its ability to assess the effect of a great number of factors in a minimal number of experiments. However,…
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Keywords:
information;
effect;
prediction;
robustness ... See more keywords