Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets
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DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.04.009
Abstract: Thus far, the focus in prediction market research has been on establishing its forecast accuracy relative to those of other prediction methods, or on the investigation of a few single sources of forecast error. This… read more here.
Keywords: variance accuracy; explaining variance; prediction; prediction market ... See more keywords
Dosage form selection using price function of prediction market
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DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.161732.1
Abstract: Backgrounds A prediction market (PM) is a process for predicting future events by gathering knowledge from participants. Researchers applied PM concept to predict the new dosage form, the industry may be able to produce incrementally… read more here.
Keywords: dosage; dosage form; price function; prediction market ... See more keywords
The prediction of market-level food choices by the neural valuation signal
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DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286648
Abstract: Neuroimaging studies have demonstrated the ability to use the brain activity of a group of individuals to forecast the behavior of an independent group. In the current study, we attempted to forecast aggregate choices in… read more here.
Keywords: market level; ventral striatum; restaurant chain; level food ... See more keywords