Articles with "prediction market" as a keyword



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Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets

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Published in 2019 at "International Journal of Forecasting"

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.04.009

Abstract: Thus far, the focus in prediction market research has been on establishing its forecast accuracy relative to those of other prediction methods, or on the investigation of a few single sources of forecast error. This… read more here.

Keywords: variance accuracy; explaining variance; prediction; prediction market ... See more keywords
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The prediction of market-level food choices by the neural valuation signal

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Published in 2023 at "PLOS ONE"

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0286648

Abstract: Neuroimaging studies have demonstrated the ability to use the brain activity of a group of individuals to forecast the behavior of an independent group. In the current study, we attempted to forecast aggregate choices in… read more here.

Keywords: market level; ventral striatum; restaurant chain; level food ... See more keywords