Cognitive heterogeneity and complex belief elicitation
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Experimental Economics"
DOI: 10.1007/s10683-021-09722-x
Abstract: The Stochastic Becker-DeGroot-Marschak (SBDM) mechanism is a theoretically elegant way of eliciting incentive-compatible beliefs under a variety of risk preferences. However, the mechanism is complex and there is concern that some participants may misunderstand its… read more here.
Keywords: belief elicitation; belief; mechanism; probabilistic reasoning ... See more keywords
Making design decisions under uncertainties: probabilistic reasoning and robust product design
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Journal of Intelligent Information Systems"
DOI: 10.1007/s10844-021-00665-6
Abstract: Making design decisions is characterized by a high degree of uncertainty, especially in the early phase of the product development process, when little information is known, while the decisions made have an impact on the… read more here.
Keywords: probabilistic reasoning; product; design decisions; uncertainties probabilistic ... See more keywords
Examining reasoning biases in schizophrenia using a modified “Jumping to Conclusions” probabilistic reasoning task.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Psychiatry Research"
DOI: 10.1016/j.psychres.2018.09.020
Abstract: Although the Jumping To Conclusion (JTC) bias has been extensively studied in relation to schizophrenia and persecutory delusions, the relationship between JTC and other reasoning biases implicated in delusional ideation is not fully understood. We… read more here.
Keywords: jtc bias; probabilistic reasoning; task; reasoning biases ... See more keywords
Probabilistic Reasoning in Context: Socio-cultural Differences in Children’s and Adults’ Predictions about the Fulfillment of Prayers and Wishes
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Journal of Cognition and Development"
DOI: 10.1080/15248372.2019.1709468
Abstract: ABSTRACT Children and adults appreciate that physical action is typically the conduit between individuals’ desires and the fulfillment of those desires. However, certain forms of petitionary thought – e.g., wishing and praying – are believed… read more here.
Keywords: probabilistic reasoning; children adults; desired events; adults predictions ... See more keywords