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Published in 2020 at "Journal of Financial Economics"
DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.10.019
Abstract: A standard real-options model predicts that time-to-build investment could be delayed by uncertainty over future revenue. We quantify the first-order importance of this mechanism in the 2002–2011 housing boom-bust cycle by developing and estimating a…
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Keywords:
real options;
build real;
time build;
investment ... See more keywords
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Published in 2021 at "Applied Economics"
DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2021.1885613
Abstract: ABSTRACT This study focuses on the Federal Reserve and private forecasts of growth in real residential investment. The aim is to improve predictive accuracy by first evaluating these forecasts. The results for 1984–2015 reveal that…
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Keywords:
residential investment;
forecasts growth;
investment;
accuracy ... See more keywords