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Published in 2021 at "Economics Letters"
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2021.110065
Abstract: We find that past major pandemics have led to a significant decline in trend inflation in Europe that lasts for more than a decade. The effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on trend inflation could, however,…
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Keywords:
effects pandemics;
time;
pandemics inflation;
run effects ... See more keywords
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Published in 2017 at "Economic Modelling"
DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.04.006
Abstract: This note points out the hazards of estimating long-run effects from models with lagged dependent variables. We use Monte Carlo experiments to demonstrate that this practice often fails to produce reliable estimates. Biases can be…
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Keywords:
lagged dependent;
estimating long;
run effects;
effects models ... See more keywords