Unmasking scenario planning: The colonization of the future in the ‘Local Governments of the Future’ program
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Futures"
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2017.07.003
Abstract: In the Netherlands, the ‘Local Governments of the Future’ program has been introduced by the Ministry of the Interior and Kingdom Relations in 2014, in the context of the ongoing transformation of the Dutch welfare… read more here.
Keywords: future program; governments future; program; local governments ... See more keywords
Applying pedagogical theories to understand learning in participatory scenario planning
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Futures"
DOI: 10.1016/j.futures.2021.102710
Abstract: Abstract Participatory scenario planning (PSP) is widely used by researchers and practitioners working towards social-ecological resilience with the expectation that it can encourage learning. However, thus far there is a lack of theoretically informed analysis… read more here.
Keywords: pedagogical theories; participatory scenario; applying pedagogical; scenario planning ... See more keywords
Combining scenario planning, energy system analysis, and multi-criteria analysis to develop and evaluate energy scenarios
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Journal of Cleaner Production"
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.118414
Abstract: Abstract The transition from the current electricity system to a renewable electricity supply poses immense economic, technological, and policy challenges. Energy system models represent the complexity of interactions in combined processes from extraction of primary… read more here.
Keywords: analysis; scenario planning; energy system; energy ... See more keywords
Prospective thinking; scenario planning meets neuroscience
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Technological Forecasting and Social Change"
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2016.10.069
Abstract: Abstract The Intuitive Logics (IL) scenario planning process is grounded in the work of Hermann Kahn and Pierre Wack in the 1960s and 1970s. Its broad adoption and sustained use over 50 years have taken it… read more here.
Keywords: prospective thinking; planning meets; scenario; scenario planning ... See more keywords
Understanding the failure to understand New Product Development failures: Mitigating the uncertainty associated with innovating new products by combining scenario planning and forecasting
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Technological Forecasting and Social Change"
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2017.02.007
Abstract: In this paper we show that New Product Development (NPD) is subject to fundamental uncertainty that is both epistemic and ontic in nature. We argue that this uncertainty cannot be mitigated using forecasting techniques exclusively,… read more here.
Keywords: uncertainty; product development; product; new product ... See more keywords
Social foundation of scenario planning
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Technological Forecasting and Social Change"
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2017.02.013
Abstract: In this article, the authors establish that models of scenario planning typically involve a series of phases, stages, or steps that imply a sequenced (i.e., linear or chronological) process. Recursive models, in contrast, allow phases… read more here.
Keywords: foundation scenario; iteration; scenario; social foundation ... See more keywords
Scenario planning and foresight: Advancing theory and improving practice
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Technological Forecasting and Social Change"
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120220
Abstract: Abstract In this Introduction, we review the logic that underpinned the earlier call for papers and provide a structured sequence for the contents of the sixteen papers that comprise the special issue. Use of particular… read more here.
Keywords: advancing theory; theory improving; scenario; foresight advancing ... See more keywords
Scenario planning as a tool to manage tourism uncertainties during the era of COVID-19: a case study of Arizona, USA
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Current Issues in Tourism"
DOI: 10.1080/13683500.2022.2032617
Abstract: ABSTRACT As the tourism industry faces a long road to full recovery in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, this study utilized a scenario planning method to depict widely contrasting conditions in which tourism recovery… read more here.
Keywords: tourism; case; public health; scenario planning ... See more keywords
The Effects of Scenario Planning on Participant Reports of Resilience.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "European Journal of Training and Development"
DOI: 10.1108/ejtd-08-2015-0068
Abstract: Purpose The purpose of this research is to examine the effects of scenario planning on participant ratings of resilience. Design/methodology/approach The research design is a quasi experimental pretest/posttest with treatment and control groups. Random selection… read more here.
Keywords: scenario; planning participant; effects scenario; reports resilience ... See more keywords
Toward a Diagnostic Tool for Organizational Ethical Culture With Futures Thinking and Scenario Planning
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management"
DOI: 10.1109/tem.2020.3018309
Abstract: The literature on futures studies scarcely mentions the use of scenario planning in organizational ethics. By gathering and analyzing diverse macro (contextual) and micro (transactional) points of view, here called “partial truths,” this article investigates… read more here.
Keywords: tool; scenario planning; scenario; ethical culture ... See more keywords
Demand scenario planning approach using regression techniques and application to network sectors in Portugal
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Water Policy"
DOI: 10.2166/wp.2019.029
Abstract: This paper aims to develop and apply an approach for short-, medium- and long-term scenario planning. Construction of water demand scenarios is of the utmost importance for planning, design and operation of distribution systems, providing… read more here.
Keywords: water; water demand; approach; scenario planning ... See more keywords