Forecast of the trend in incidence of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis in China from 2011-2019 using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Exponential Smoothing (ETS) models.
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2019.12.008
Abstract: BACKGROUND This study aimed to explore the demographic and distributive features of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis (AHC). We constructed seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) and exponential smoothing (ETS) models to predict its trend in incidence… read more here.
Keywords: hemorrhagic conjunctivitis; ets models; seasonal autoregressive; china ... See more keywords