Bias adjustment and ensemble recalibration methods for seasonal forecasting: a comprehensive intercomparison using the C3S dataset
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Climate Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04640-4
Abstract: This work presents a comprehensive intercomparison of different alternatives for the calibration of seasonal forecasts, ranging from simple bias adjustment (BA)—e.g. quantile mapping—to more sophisticated ensemble recalibration (RC) methods—e.g. non-homogeneous Gaussian regression, which build on… read more here.
Keywords: recalibration methods; seasonal forecasting; model; ensemble recalibration ... See more keywords
Global Seasonal forecasting system 6 (GloSea6): a large ensemble seasonal forecasting system
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2025 at "Monthly Weather Review"
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-25-0007.1
Abstract: This paper describes the Met Office Global Seasonal forecasting system 6 (GloSea6). This newly upgraded system includes an increase in ensemble size to 105 members. The increase in ensemble size has multiple benefits for bias… read more here.
Keywords: system; forecasting system; seasonal forecasting; global seasonal ... See more keywords
Seasonal Forecasting of the Onset of the Rainy Season in West Africa
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Atmosphere"
DOI: 10.3390/atmos10090528
Abstract: Seasonal forecasts for monsoonal rainfall characteristics like the onset of the rainy seasons (ORS) are crucial for national weather services in semi-arid regions to better support decision-making in rain-fed agriculture. In this study an approach… read more here.
Keywords: west africa; seasonal forecasting; forecasting; onset rainy ... See more keywords