A seamless filter for daily to seasonal forecasts, with applications to Iran and Brazil
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3670
Abstract: A digital filter is introduced which treats the problem of predictability versus time averaging in a continuous, seamless manner. This seamless filter (SF) is characterized by a unique smoothing rule that determines the strength of… read more here.
Keywords: time; daily seasonal; seamless filter; forecasts applications ... See more keywords
Performance of seasonal forecasts of Douro and Port wine production
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Agricultural and Forest Meteorology"
DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108095
Abstract: Abstract Wine production is intricately dependant on the evolution of weather conditions in a given year. Therefore, seasonal weather forecasts coupled with empirical wine production models can play a critical role in the short to… read more here.
Keywords: wine production; performance seasonal; seasonal forecasts; production ... See more keywords
Seasonal forecasts offer economic benefit for hydrological decision making in semi-arid regions
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Scientific Reports"
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-89564-y
Abstract: Increasing frequencies of droughts require proactive preparedness, particularly in semi-arid regions. As forecasting of such hydrometeorological extremes several months ahead allows for necessary climate proofing, we assess the potential economic value of the seasonal forecasting… read more here.
Keywords: decision; semi arid; hydrological decision; arid regions ... See more keywords
Seasonal Forecasts of the Twentieth Century
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DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0019.1
Abstract: New seasonal retrospective forecasts for 1901-2010 show that skill for predicting ENSO, NAO and PNA is reduced during mid-century periods compared to earlier and more recent high-skill decades. Forecasts of seasonal climate anomalies using physically-based… read more here.
Keywords: mid century; century; seasonal forecasts; skill ... See more keywords
Bias-corrected and spatially disaggregated seasonal forecasts: a long-term reference forecast product for the water sector in semi-arid regions
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Earth System Science Data"
DOI: 10.5194/essd-13-2701-2021
Abstract: Abstract. Seasonal forecasts have the potential to substantially improve water management particularly in water-scarce regions. However, global seasonal forecasts are usually not directly applicable as they are provided at coarse spatial resolutions of at best… read more here.
Keywords: bias corrected; water; spatially disaggregated; semi arid ... See more keywords
Benchmarking an operational hydrological model for providing seasonal forecasts in Sweden
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Hydrology and Earth System Sciences"
DOI: 10.5194/hess-25-1189-2021
Abstract: Abstract. Probabilistic seasonal forecasts are important for many water-intensive activities requiring long-term planning. Among the different techniques used for seasonal forecasting, the ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) approach has long been employed due to the singular… read more here.
Keywords: forecast skill; benchmarking operational; hydrological model; operational hydrological ... See more keywords