ENSO influence on the dynamical seasonal prediction of the East Asian Winter Monsoon
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3574-4
Abstract: This study examined the forecast skill for the East Asian Winter Monsoon (EAWM) using the following state-of-the-art dynamical seasonal prediction systems: CanCM3, CanCM4, CFSv2, CM2.1, and GEOS-5. To assess the prediction skills and the associations… read more here.
Keywords: dynamical seasonal; seasonal prediction; winter monsoon; asian winter ... See more keywords
Evaluating the applicability of using daily forecasts from seasonal prediction systems (SPSs) for agriculture: a case study of Nepal’s Terai with the NCEP CFSv2
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Theoretical and Applied Climatology"
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2433-5
Abstract: Ensemble forecasts from dynamic seasonal prediction systems (SPSs) have the potential to improve decision-making for crop management to help cope with interannual weather variability. Because the reliability of crop yield predictions based on seasonal weather… read more here.
Keywords: cfsv2; seasonal prediction; nepal terai; systems spss ... See more keywords
Statistical Seasonal Prediction Based on Regularized Regression
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DOI: 10.1175/jcli-d-16-0249.1
Abstract: AbstractThis paper proposes a regularized regression procedure for finding a predictive relation between one variable and a field of other variables. The procedure estimates a linear prediction model under the constraint that the regression coefficients… read more here.
Keywords: seasonal prediction; regression; statistical seasonal; prediction based ... See more keywords