LAUSR

Prediction‐based adaptive compositional model for seasonal time series analysis

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0 Published in 2017 at "Journal of Forecasting"

DOI: 10.1002/for.2474

Abstract: In this paper we propose a new class of seasonal time series models, based on a stable seasonal composition assumption. With the objective of forecasting the sum of the next l observations, the concept of… read more here.

Keywords: seasonal time; prediction; model; time series ... See more keywords

Exponential Smoothing on Modeling and Forecasting Multiple Seasonal Time Series: An Overview

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1 Published in 2021 at "Fluctuation and Noise Letters"

DOI: 10.1142/s0219477521300032

Abstract: This paper presents the development process of the exponential smoothing (ES) model, starts with the traditional ES model and then focuses to the multiple seasonal ES model. This paper describes an... read more here.

Keywords: forecasting multiple; exponential smoothing; smoothing modeling; seasonal time ... See more keywords

Forecasting West African Heat Waves at Subseasonal and Seasonal Time Scales

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2 Published in 2018 at "Monthly Weather Review"

DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-17-0211.1

Abstract: AbstractEarly indication of an increased risk of extremely warm conditions could help alleviate some of the consequences of severe heat waves on human health. This study focuses on boreal spring heat wave events over West… read more here.

Keywords: forecasting west; heat waves; subseasonal seasonal; heat ... See more keywords