Visualizing Uncertainty in Time Series Forecasts: The Impact of Uncertainty Visualization on Users' Confidence, Algorithmic Advice Utilization, and Forecasting Performance
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DOI: 10.1002/for.3222
Abstract: Time series forecasts are always associated with uncertainty. However, experimental studies on the impact of uncertainty communication provide inconclusive results on the effect of providing this uncertainty to end users. In this study, we examine… read more here.
Keywords: advice utilization; uncertainty; series forecasts; time series ... See more keywords
Analysts versus time-series forecasts of quarterly earnings: A maintained hypothesis revisited
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DOI: 10.1016/j.adiac.2020.100497
Abstract: Abstract We re-examine the maintained hypothesis of analysts' quarterly earnings per share (EPS) superiority versus ARIMA time-series forecasts. While our empirical results are consistent with overall analysts' dominance, they suggest a more contextual interpretation of… read more here.
Keywords: time series; time; series forecasts; maintained hypothesis ... See more keywords