Association Between Surgeon Technical Skills and Patient Outcomes.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "JAMA surgery"
DOI: 10.1001/jamasurg.2020.3007
Abstract: Importance Postoperative complications remain common after surgery, but little is known about the extent of variation in operative technical skill and whether variation is associated with patient outcomes. Objectives To examine the (1) variation in… read more here.
Keywords: technical skills; variation; technical skill; patient outcomes ... See more keywords
Geopolitical Forecasting Skill in Strategic Intelligence
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Journal of Behavioral Decision Making"
DOI: 10.1002/bdm.2055
Abstract: Extending research by the authors on intelligence forecasting, the forecasting skill of 3622 geopolitical forecasts extracted from strategic intelligence reports was examined. The codable subset of forecasts (N = 2013) was expressed with verbal probabilities (e.g., likely)… read more here.
Keywords: strategic intelligence; forecasting skill; skill; skill strategic ... See more keywords
Study Links Surgical Skills to Fewer Long‐Term Colon Cancer Complications
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Cancer"
DOI: 10.1002/cncr.33605
Abstract: P atients with colorectal cancer whose operations were performed by more technically skilled surgeons were 70% more likely to survive long term, according to a study by Northwestern University researchers published in JAMA Surgery.1 The… read more here.
Keywords: surgical skills; study; colon; bilimoria ... See more keywords
Practice and proficiency: Factors that facilitate infant walking skill.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Developmental psychobiology"
DOI: 10.1002/dev.22187
Abstract: Infant walking skill improves with practice-crudely estimated by elapsed time since walk onset. However, despite the robust relation between elapsed time (months walking) and skill, practice is likely constrained and facilitated by infants' home environments,… read more here.
Keywords: walk onset; walking skill; practice; skill ... See more keywords
Beyond skill scores: exploring sub‐seasonal forecast value through a case‐study of French month‐ahead energy prediction
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.3863
Abstract: We quantify the value of sub‐seasonal forecasts for a real‐world prediction problem: the forecasting of French month‐ahead energy demand. Using surface temperature as a predictor, we construct a trading strategy and assess the financial value… read more here.
Keywords: energy; french month; skill; forecast ... See more keywords
A new approach to extended‐range multimodel forecasting: Sequential learning algorithms
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4177
Abstract: Multimodel combinations are a well‐established methodology in weather and climate prediction and their benefits have been widely discussed in the literature. Typical approaches involve combining the output of different numerical weather prediction (NWP) models using… read more here.
Keywords: skill; combination; prediction; new approach ... See more keywords
Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Climate Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3721-y
Abstract: Here we examine the skill of three, five, and seven-category monthly ENSO probability forecasts (1982–2015) from single and multi-model ensemble integrations of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) project. Three-category forecasts are typical and provide… read more here.
Keywords: multimodel ensemble; american multimodel; north american; enso phase ... See more keywords
Evaluation of NMME temperature and precipitation bias and forecast skill for South Asia
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3841-4
Abstract: Systematic error and forecast skill for temperature and precipitation in two regions of Southern Asia are investigated using hindcasts initialized May 1 from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble. We focus on two contiguous but geographically… read more here.
Keywords: forecast skill; temperature precipitation; climatology; skill ... See more keywords
Causes of skill in seasonal predictions of the Arctic Oscillation
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DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-4019-9
Abstract: Based on an analysis of hindcasts from a seasonal forecast system, complemented by the analysis of a large ensemble of AMIP simulations, possible causes for skillful prediction of the winter Arctic Oscillation (AO) on a… read more here.
Keywords: arctic oscillation; analysis; causes skill; skill ... See more keywords
Potential predictability and forecast skill in ensemble climate forecast: a skill-persistence rule
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Climate Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-4040-z
Abstract: This study investigates the factors relationship between the forecast skills for the real world (actual skill) and perfect model (perfect skill) in ensemble climate model forecast with a series of fully coupled general circulation model… read more here.
Keywords: forecast skill; model; skill persistence; skill ... See more keywords
Dynamical prediction of Arctic sea ice modes of variability
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Climate Dynamics"
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4318-9
Abstract: This study explores the prediction skill of the northern hemisphere (NH) sea ice thickness (SIT) modes of variability in a state-of-the-art coupled forecast system with respect to two statistical forecast benchmarks. Application of the K-means… read more here.
Keywords: sit; sea ice; prediction; skill ... See more keywords