Geopolitical Forecasting Skill in Strategic Intelligence
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DOI: 10.1002/bdm.2055
Abstract: Extending research by the authors on intelligence forecasting, the forecasting skill of 3622 geopolitical forecasts extracted from strategic intelligence reports was examined. The codable subset of forecasts (N = 2013) was expressed with verbal probabilities (e.g., likely)… read more here.
Keywords: strategic intelligence; forecasting skill; skill; skill strategic ... See more keywords