Improvements in the spread–skill relationship of precipitation in a convective‐scale ensemble through blending
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DOI: 10.1002/qj.4754
Abstract: Convective‐scale ensembles are used routinely in operational centres around the world to produce probabilistic precipitation forecasts, but a lack of spread between members is providing forecasts that are frequently overconfident. This deficiency can be corrected… read more here.
Keywords: convective scale; spread skill; scale; precipitation ... See more keywords