Stochastic Epidemic SEIRS Models with a Constant Latency Period
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DOI: 10.1007/s00009-017-0977-8
Abstract: In this paper, we consider the stability of a class of deterministic and stochastic SEIRS epidemic models with delay. Indeed, we assume that the transmission rate could be stochastic and the presence of a latency… read more here.
Keywords: latency; seirs models; latency period; stochastic epidemic ... See more keywords
Outbreak Size Distribution in Stochastic Epidemic Models.
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DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.128.078301
Abstract: Motivated by recent epidemic outbreaks, including those of COVID-19, we solve the canonical problem of calculating the dynamics and likelihood of extensive outbreaks in a population within a large class of stochastic epidemic models with… read more here.
Keywords: epidemic models; size distribution; stochastic epidemic; outbreak size ... See more keywords
Bayesian Nonparametrics for Stochastic Epidemic Models
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DOI: 10.1214/17-sts617
Abstract: The vast majority of models for the spread of communicable diseases are parametric in nature and involve underlying assumptions about how the disease spreads through a population. In this article we consider the use of… read more here.
Keywords: stochastic epidemic; bayesian nonparametrics; nonparametrics stochastic; epidemic models ... See more keywords