Compared to What? Establishing Environmental Baselines for Tornado Warning Skill
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DOI: 10.1175/bams-d-19-0310.1
Abstract: In any discussion of forecast evaluation, it is tempting to fall back on statements reflecting unverified assumptions: “this tornado warning had lower skill because the underlying meteorology reflected a complicated or atypical scenario,” or “that… read more here.
Keywords: warning skill; tornado warning; near storm; storm environments ... See more keywords
Diurnal Preconditioning of Subtropical Coastal Convective Storm Environments
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DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-16-0330.1
Abstract: AbstractBoundary layer evolution in response to diurnal forcing is manifested at the mesobeta and smaller scales of the atmosphere. Because this variability resides on subsynoptic scales, the potential influence upon convective storm environments is often… read more here.
Keywords: convective storm; preconditioning subtropical; diurnal preconditioning; coastal convective ... See more keywords