The Mosquito, the Virus, the Climate: An Unforeseen Réunion in 2018
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DOI: 10.1029/2020gh000253
Abstract: The 2018 outbreak of dengue in the French overseas department of Réunion was unprecedented in size and spread across the island. This research focuses on the cause of the outbreak, asserting that climate played a… read more here.
Keywords: mosquito virus; subseasonal forecasts; weeks advance; union ... See more keywords
Subseasonal Forecasts of Opportunity Identified by an Explainable Neural Network
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DOI: 10.1029/2020gl092092
Abstract: Midlatitude prediction on subseasonal timescales is difficult due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere and often requires the identification of favorable atmospheric conditions that may lead to enhanced skill (“forecasts of opportunity”). Here, we… read more here.
Keywords: neural network; opportunity identified; subseasonal forecasts; forecasts opportunity ... See more keywords
Multimodel Subseasonal Forecasts of Spring Cold Spells: Potential Value for the Hazelnut Agribusiness
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-19-0086.1
Abstract: AbstractProducing probabilistic subseasonal forecasts of extreme events up to six weeks in advance is crucial for many economic sectors. In agribusiness, this time scale is particularly critical be... read more here.
Keywords: spring cold; subseasonal forecasts; multimodel subseasonal; spells potential ... See more keywords
Pattern projection calibrations on subseasonal forecasts of surface air temperature over East Asia
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DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-22-0046.1
Abstract: Subseasonal forecasts have recently attracted widespread interests yet remain a challenging issue. A statistical Kalman filter pattern projection method (KFPPM), which absorbs the projection conception of the raw covariance pattern projection (COVPPM) and the adaptive… read more here.
Keywords: subseasonal forecasts; projection; kfppm; east asia ... See more keywords