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Published in 2018 at "Political Analysis"
DOI: 10.1017/pan.2018.49
Abstract: We offer a dynamic Bayesian forecasting model for multiparty elections. It combines data from published pre-election public opinion polls with information from fundamentals-based forecasting models. The model takes care of the multiparty nature of the…
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Keywords:
multiparty systems;
bayesian approach;
forecasting elections;
model ... See more keywords
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Published in 2020 at "IEEE Transactions on Control of Network Systems"
DOI: 10.1109/tcns.2019.2927201
Abstract: In this paper, differential games with incomplete information, or Bayesian games, are formulated for multiagent continuous-time dynamical systems in a communication graph. These new Bayesian graphical games model the situation where the agents are uncertain…
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Keywords:
synchronization networks;
bayesian graphical;
dynamical systems;
graphical games ... See more keywords