Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "International Journal of Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.09.003
Abstract: We have been publishing real-time forecasts of confirmed cases and deaths for COVID-19 from mid-March 2020 onwards, published at www.doornik.com/COVID-19. These forecasts are short-term statistical extrapolations of past and current data. They assume that the… read more here.
Keywords: term; term forecasting; short term; coronavirus pandemic ... See more keywords
Natural gas consumption forecasting: A discussion on forecasting history and future challenges
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering"
DOI: 10.1016/j.jngse.2021.103930
Abstract: Abstract Natural gas consumption forecasting technology has been researched for 70 years. This paper reviews the history of natural gas consumption forecasting, and discusses the changes in forecasting horizons, influencing factors, and forecasting performance. According… read more here.
Keywords: term forecasting; consumption forecasting; term; gas consumption ... See more keywords
Modeling and control of COVID-19: A short-term forecasting in the context of India.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Chaos"
DOI: 10.1063/5.0015330
Abstract: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, due to SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2), originated in Wuhan, China and is now a global pandemic. The unavailability of vaccines, delays in diagnosis of the disease,… read more here.
Keywords: modeling control; term forecasting; control covid; covid ... See more keywords
Short-term Forecasting for Airline Industry: The Case of Indian Air Passenger and Air Cargo
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Global Business Review"
DOI: 10.1177/0972150920923316
Abstract: AbstractThis study aims to forecast air passenger and cargo demand of the Indian aviation industry using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and Bayesian structural time series (BS... read more here.
Keywords: term forecasting; air passenger; industry; air ... See more keywords
COVID-19 infected cases in Canada: Short-term forecasting models
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "PLoS ONE"
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270182
Abstract: Governments have implemented different interventions and response models to combat the spread of COVID-19. The necessary intensity and frequency of control measures require us to project the number of infected cases. Three short-term forecasting models… read more here.
Keywords: infected cases; forecasting models; term forecasting; cases canada ... See more keywords
Short-term forecasting of daily COVID-19 cases in Brazil by using the Holt’s model
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical"
DOI: 10.1590/0037-8682-0283-2020
Abstract: Abstract: INTRODUCTION: We evaluated the performance of the Holt’s model to forecast the daily COVID-19 reported cases in Brazil and three Brazilian states. METHODS: We chose the date of the first COVID-19 case to April… read more here.
Keywords: term forecasting; daily covid; holt model; model ... See more keywords
Nowcasting (Short-Term Forecasting) of COVID-19 Hospitalizations Using Syndromic Healthcare Data, Sweden, 2020
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Emerging Infectious Diseases"
DOI: 10.3201/eid2803.210267
Abstract: We report on local nowcasting (short-term forecasting) of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) hospitalizations based on syndromic (symptom) data recorded in regular healthcare routines in Östergötland County (population ≈465,000), Sweden, early in the pandemic, when broad laboratory… read more here.
Keywords: term forecasting; nowcasting short; healthcare; covid hospitalizations ... See more keywords
Methods for Mid-Term Forecasting of Crop Export and Production
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Applied Sciences"
DOI: 10.3390/app112210973
Abstract: A vast number of studies are devoted to the short-term forecasting of agricultural production and market. However, those results are more helpful for market traders than producers and agricultural policy regulators because any structural change… read more here.
Keywords: export; mid term; forecasting crop; term forecasting ... See more keywords
Integration of Demand Response and Short-Term Forecasting for the Management of Prosumers’ Demand and Generation
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Energies"
DOI: 10.3390/en13010011
Abstract: The development of Short-Term Forecasting Techniques has a great importance for power system scheduling and managing. Therefore, many recent research papers have dealt with the proposal of new forecasting models searching for higher efficiency and… read more here.
Keywords: methodology; term forecasting; generation; demand response ... See more keywords
A case study of short-term forecasting during the COVID-19 pandemic: the platform icumonitoring.ch.
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Swiss medical weekly"
DOI: 10.4414/smw.2021.20524
Abstract: Compartmental models, such as the well-known SEIR model, which divides the population into Susceptible (to the infection), Exposed, Infectious and Recovered persons, and mathematically models their interdependence, are paradigms of mathematical epidemiology. It is therefore… read more here.
Keywords: covid pandemic; term forecasting; model; differential equations ... See more keywords