Natural Time, Nowcasting and the Physics of Earthquakes: Estimation of Seismic Risk to Global Megacities
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DOI: 10.1007/s00024-017-1720-x
Abstract: Natural Time (“NT”) refers to the concept of using small earthquake counts, for example of M > 3 events, to mark the intervals between large earthquakes, for example M > 6 events. The term was first used by Varotsos… read more here.
Keywords: risk; natural time; physics; time nowcasting ... See more keywords
Real-time nowcasting and forecasting of COVID-19 dynamics in England: the first wave
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DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0279
Abstract: England has been heavily affected by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, with severe ‘lockdown’ mitigation measures now gradually being lifted. The real-time pandemic monitoring presented here has contributed to the evidence informing this pandemic management throughout the… read more here.
Keywords: real time; time nowcasting; nowcasting forecasting; first wave ... See more keywords