Forecasting Epidemics Through Nonparametric Estimation of Time-Dependent Transmission Rates Using the SEIR Model
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Bulletin of Mathematical Biology"
DOI: 10.1007/s11538-017-0284-3
Abstract: Deterministic and stochastic methods relying on early case incidence data for forecasting epidemic outbreaks have received increasing attention during the last few years. In mathematical terms, epidemic forecasting is an ill-posed problem due to instability… read more here.
Keywords: transmission; transmission rates; dependent transmission; time dependent ... See more keywords
Methods for estimating disease transmission rates: Evaluating the precision of Poisson regression and two novel methods
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Scientific Reports"
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-09209-x
Abstract: Precise estimates of disease transmission rates are critical for epidemiological simulation models. Most often these rates must be estimated from longitudinal field data, which are costly and time-consuming to conduct. Consequently, measures to reduce cost… read more here.
Keywords: transmission; disease transmission; poisson regression; transmission rates ... See more keywords
High COVID-19 transmission rates jeopardize global mass vaccination campaigns
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Pathogens and Global Health"
DOI: 10.1080/20477724.2021.1894042
Abstract: Beginning in December 2020, massive vaccination campaigns against COVID-19 are now underway worldwide at an unprecedented pace of development. Meanwhile, new daily infections continue, but the seven days of 3–9 February saw a decrease of… read more here.
Keywords: vaccination campaigns; transmission rates; infection; covid ... See more keywords
Transmission Rates of 'Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus' to Greenhouse Seedlings by Laboratory Colonies of Asian Citrus Psyllid (Hemiptera: Liviidae).
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Journal of economic entomology"
DOI: 10.1093/jee/toy240
Abstract: Asiatic huanglongbing (HLB), also known as citrus greening or yellow shoot disease, is a serious disease putatively caused by the bacterium 'Candidatus Liberibacter asiaticus' Jagoueix et al. (Rhizobiales: Rhizobiaceae) (CLas) transmitted by the Asian citrus… read more here.
Keywords: transmission rates; asian citrus; candidatus liberibacter; citrus psyllid ... See more keywords
The dynamics of scarlet fever in The Netherlands, 1906–1920: a historical analysis
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DOI: 10.1098/rsos.220030
Abstract: Background. Scarlet fever, an infectious disease caused by Streptococcus pyogenes, largely disappeared in developed countries during the twentieth century. In recent years, scarlet fever is on the rise again, and there is a need for… read more here.
Keywords: fever netherlands; scarlet fever; transmission; dynamics scarlet ... See more keywords
Host preferences inhibit transmission from potential superspreader host species
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences"
DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2022.0084
Abstract: Host species that are particularly abundant, infectious and/or infected tend to contribute disproportionately to symbiont (parasite or mutualist) maintenance in multi-host systems. Therefore, in a facultative multi-host system where two host species had high densities,… read more here.
Keywords: potential superspreader; host preferences; host species; host ... See more keywords
COVID-19 cluster size and transmission rates in schools from crowdsourced case reports
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2022 at "eLife"
DOI: 10.7554/elife.76174
Abstract: The role of schools in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 is controversial, with some claiming they are an important driver of the pandemic and others arguing that transmission in schools is negligible. School cluster reports that… read more here.
Keywords: covid cluster; transmission; cluster; cluster size ... See more keywords