Evaluation of an experimental Warn‐on‐Forecast 3DVAR analysis and forecast system on quasi‐real‐time short‐term forecasts of high‐impact weather events
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2021 at "Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society"
DOI: 10.1002/qj.4168
Abstract: The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the capability of an experimental, weather‐adaptive, high‐resolution, deterministic Warn‐on‐Forecast (WoF) analysis and forecast system (WoF3DVAR‐AFS) for predicting high‐impact severe weather events that occurred during the Hazardous Weather… read more here.
Keywords: warn forecast; system; forecast; analysis forecast ... See more keywords
Assessing Systematic Impacts of PBL Schemes on Storm Evolution in the NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Monthly Weather Review"
DOI: 10.1175/mwr-d-19-0389.1
Abstract: AbstractThe NOAA Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) is an experimental rapidly updating convection-allowing ensemble designed to provide probabilistic operational guidance on high-impact thunderstorm h... read more here.
Keywords: warn forecast; assessing systematic; noaa warn; forecast system ... See more keywords
Advancing from Convection-Allowing NWP to Warn-on-Forecast: Evidence of Progress
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2018 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-17-0145.1
Abstract: AbstractThe Warn-on-Forecast (WoF) program, driven by advanced data assimilation and ensemble design of numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems, seeks to advance 0–3-h NWP to aid National Weathe... read more here.
Keywords: warn forecast; advancing convection; warn; convection allowing ... See more keywords
Comparing Short-Term Thunderstorm Forecasts from the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) and High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR)
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2025 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-24-0238.1
Abstract: Short term (0–6-hr) forecasts of thunderstorms from the experimental Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) are compared to forecasts from the operational High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) for 95 cases between 2020 and 2023. Object-based and neighborhood verification of… read more here.
Keywords: hrrr; warn forecast; short term; thunderstorm ... See more keywords
A Comparative Analysis of Near-Storm Environments for Tornadic and Nontornadic Significant-Hail Supercells using the Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS)
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2025 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-25-0016.1
Abstract: The National Severe Storm Laboratory’s Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) is an ensemble of convection-allowing simulations designed for short-term (0–6 h) forecasting of severe weather, with the goal of helping the community move from a warn-on-detection to… read more here.
Keywords: significant hail; storm; nontornadic significant; tornadic nontornadic ... See more keywords