Unheeded warning of war: why policymakers ignored the 1990 Yugoslavia estimate*
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Intelligence and National Security"
DOI: 10.1080/02684527.2016.1259814
Abstract: Abstract This article examines the lack of policy response to the 1990 U.S. National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) that predicted the collapse of Yugoslavia. Contrary to common criticisms of estimative intelligence, the NIE was accurate and… read more here.
Keywords: intelligence; estimate; warning war; yugoslavia ... See more keywords