Estimation of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score with Limited Information and Applications to Ensemble Weather Forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Mathematical Geosciences"
DOI: 10.1007/s11004-017-9709-7
Abstract: The continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) is a much used measure of performance for probabilistic forecasts of a scalar observation. It is a quadratic measure of the difference between the forecast cumulative distribution function (CDF)… read more here.
Keywords: ranked probability; weather forecasts; continuous ranked; ensemble weather ... See more keywords
A robust optimization approach to hybrid microgrid operation using ensemble weather forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Applied Energy"
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.05.068
Abstract: Hybrid microgrids that use renewable energy sources can improve energy security and islanding time while reducing costs. One potential beneficiary of these systems is the U.S. military, which can seek to improve energy security when… read more here.
Keywords: hybrid microgrid; weather forecasts; energy; ensemble weather ... See more keywords
Evaluation of fire weather forecasts using PM2.5 sensitivity analysis
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Atmospheric Environment"
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2016.09.010
Abstract: Abstract Fire weather forecasts are used by land and wildlife managers to determine when meteorological and fuel conditions are suitable to conduct prescribed burning. In this work, we investigate the sensitivity of ambient PM 2.5… read more here.
Keywords: weather forecasts; prescribed burning; sensitivity; fire weather ... See more keywords
Why COVID-19 made weather forecasts less reliable
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DOI: 10.1038/d41586-020-02198-4
Abstract: The pandemic grounded many commercial flights, starving forecast models of valuable data acquired at high altitudes. The pandemic grounded many commercial flights, starving forecast models of valuable data acquired at high altitudes. read more here.
Keywords: less reliable; made weather; forecasts less; weather forecasts ... See more keywords
An Evaluation of NDFD Weather Forecasts for Wildland Fire Behavior Prediction
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Weather and Forecasting"
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-17-0121.1
Abstract: AbstractWildland fire managers in the United States currently utilize the gridded forecasts from the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) to make fire behavior predictions across complex lands... read more here.
Keywords: weather forecasts; ndfd weather; fire behavior; evaluation ndfd ... See more keywords
Spot Weather Forecasts: Improving Utilization, Communication, and Perceptions of Accuracy in Sophisticated User Groups
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2017 at "Weather, Climate, and Society"
DOI: 10.1175/wcas-d-15-0055.1
Abstract: AbstractSpot weather forecasts (SWFs) are issued by Weather Service offices throughout the United States and are primarily for use by wildfire and prescribed fire practitioners for monitoring local-scale weather conditions. This paper focuses on use… read more here.
Keywords: fire practitioners; weather forecasts; communication; weather ... See more keywords
A web-based decision support system for smart dam operations using weather forecasts
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2019 at "Journal of Hydroinformatics"
DOI: 10.2166/hydro.2019.116
Abstract: A web-based open-source decision support system (DSS) was developed to facilitate real-world engagement with dam-operating agencies in the decision-making process involving atmospheric modeling, hydrologic modeling, and web technology. The development process was decoupled into the… read more here.
Keywords: system; dam; weather forecasts; decision ... See more keywords
Fire Weather Index: the skill provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble prediction system
Sign Up to like & getrecommendations! Published in 2020 at "Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences"
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-20-2365-2020
Abstract: Abstract. In the framework of the EU Copernicus programme, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) on behalf of the Joint Research Centre (JRC) is forecasting daily fire weather indices using its medium-range ensemble prediction system.… read more here.
Keywords: medium range; system; weather forecasts; fire weather ... See more keywords